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          Institute: MPI für Evolutionsbiologie     Collection: Evolutionary ecology     Display Documents

ID: 433990.0, MPI für Evolutionsbiologie / Evolutionary ecology
Genetic progression and the waiting time to cancer
Authors:Beerenwinkel, Niko; Antal, Tibor; Dingli, David; Traulsen, Arne; Kinzler, Kenneth W.; Velculescu, Victor E.; Vogelstein, Bert; Nowak, Martin A.
Date of Publication (YYYY-MM-DD):2007-11
Title of Journal:PLoS Computational Biology
Issue / Number:11
Start Page:2239
End Page:2246
Sequence Number of Article:e225
Review Status:not specified
Audience:Not Specified
Abstract / Description:Cancer results from genetic alterations that disturb the normal cooperative behavior of cells. Recent high-throughput genomic studies of cancer cells have shown that the mutational landscape of cancer is complex and that individual cancers may evolve through mutations in as many as 20 different cancer-associated genes. We use data published by Sjoblom et al. ( 2006) to develop a new mathematical model for the somatic evolution of colorectal cancers. We employ the Wright-Fisher process for exploring the basic parameters of this evolutionary process and derive an analytical approximation for the expected waiting time to the cancer phenotype. Our results highlight the relative importance of selection over both the size of the cell population at risk and the mutation rate. The model predicts that the observed genetic diversity of cancer genomes can arise under a normal mutation rate if the average selective advantage per mutation is on the order of 1%. Increased mutation rates due to genetic instability would allow even smaller selective advantages during tumorigenesis. The complexity of cancer progression can be understood as the result of multiple sequential mutations, each of which has a relatively small but positive effect on net cell growth.
External Publication Status:published
Document Type:Article
Affiliations:MPI für Evolutionsbiologie/Abt. Evolutionsökologie
MPI für Evolutionsbiologie/AG Evolutionstheorie
External Affiliations:Harvard Univ, Program Evolutionary Dynam, Cambridge, MA 02138 USA; Sidney Kimmel Comprehens Canc Ctr, Ludwig Ctr, Baltimore, MD USA; Johns Hopkins Univ, Howard Hughes Med Inst, Baltimore, MD 21218 USA
Identifiers:ISSN:1553-734X (print) [ID-No:1]
ISSN:1553-7358 (online) [ID-No:2]
DOI:10.1371/journal.pcbi.0030225 [ID-No:3]
LOCALID:S 39023 [S-Nummer]
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