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          Institute: MPI für Meteorologie     Collection: Land in the Earth System     Display Documents



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ID: 437241.0, MPI für Meteorologie / Land in the Earth System
Early-warning signals for critical transitions [Review]
Authors:Scheffer, M.; Bascompte, J.; Brock, W. A.; Brovkin, V.; Carpenter, S. R.; Dakos, V.; Held, H.; van Nes, E. H.; Rietkerk, M.; Sugihara, G.
Language:English
Date of Publication (YYYY-MM-DD):2009-09
Title of Journal:Nature
Volume:461
Issue / Number:7260
Start Page:53
End Page:59
Review Status:Peer-review
Audience:Not Specified
Abstract / Description:Complex dynamical systems, ranging from ecosystems to financial markets and the climate, can have tipping points at which a sudden shift to a contrasting dynamical regime may occur. Although predicting such critical points before they are reached is extremely difficult, work in different scientific fields is now suggesting the existence of generic early-warning signals that may indicate for a wide class of systems if a critical threshold is approaching.
External Publication Status:published
Document Type:Article
Communicated by:Kauhs
Affiliations:MPI für Meteorologie/Land in the Earth System (2005-)
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